woodge.com > movies > summer 2009 movie predictions
Alkerton wins.

See you next year!

Last update:
NOV 4   Week 27: There was no change in the top 20 last week or this week, so I'm declaring this year's challenge done and Alkerton is king of all Deviates. Say hello to Alkerton on Twitter.

Previous 3 updates:
OCT 20   Week 25: Inglourious Basterds overtook G-Force for the 13th spot. Alkerton holds first among the Deviates. This may be the end....
OCT 07   Week 23: Inglourious Basterds moved up 1 spot and Final Destination has edged over Pelham 123. Didn't change the Deviates' rankings much: Alkerton keeps his lead over Pook by 2 points. My question is: will Inglourious Basterds overtake G-Force? Still tracking....
SEP 22   21 weeks in and we still have movement in the top 20! Bruno has been displaced by Final Destination. Inglourious Basterds keeps earning more and may yet climb another notch. Julia & Julia is still cookin' and climbed over The Ugly Truth. Alkerton keeps his lead among the Deviates, 3 points ahead of Pook. Looks like this is going into October, folks.

 

District 9
Ciao!
 
Top 20 Summer Movie Predictions of 2009
Welcome to the ninth annual SUMMER MOVIE PREDICTIONS. On this page I detail the box office predictions made by all the contestants for this summer's crop of blockbusters, hopefuls, and worthless crap.

All eligible contestants will have submitted their predictions to me by the due date of April 30th.

All of the predictions are for movies released from MAY 1ST through AUGUST 31ST. Predictions will not be tampered with once the challenge begins, even if they make the participants look really stupid (see last year).

See also: Top 20 lists and Deviation Scores and FAQ
And: Comments link


The Contestants
W Woodge DF Doug French B Beck P Pook G Gritz K Knoxville
SS Sean Smylie H Holls ET Mrs. T A Alkerton J Jet SC Scott Chew
RS Ryan Sochol JM J Murph S Schmoo PB P Baker ZD Zach D K2 Kevin Sinclair
F Fang FV Farva VC VC Nickels T T AM Aaron McMahon V Valaina
BR Bunny AO Awesome-O JJ Juff Juff MM MRM FW Frank Wiese LN Lessthannate
OZ Ozzy HC Hatch BC Basket Case FR Frank R


MOVIERELEASE DATERANK | BOX
  OFFICE TOTAL
W DF B P G K SS H ET A J SC RS JM S PB ZD K2 F FV VC T AM V BR AO JJ MM FW LN OZ HC BC FR
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen jun 24 01 402.2 mil  1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 1 2 7 1 1 1 3 1 4 1 16 1 2
Harry Potter & the Half Blood Prince jul 17 02 301.2 mil  2 2 2 2 2 2 2 6 3 2 5 11 2 2 2 5 2 2 2 3 2 2 1 11 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 7 2 3
Up may 29 03 293.0 mil  6 6 3 3 6 6 6 8 6 4 4 5 4 5 7 6 3 6 4 5 6 7 7 4 4 5 3 5 5 11 19 3 5
The Hangover jun 5 04 276.8 mil  15 16 12 18 14 16 11 14 16 15 15 19 15 13 17 20 10 15 16
Star Trek may 8 05 257.7 mil  3 4 5 6 9 4 7 1 5 3 1 2 6 8 5 4 13 4 11 2 1 8 4 3 3 3 8 7 3 8 10 1 5 1
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs jul 1 06 196.4 mil  7 7 7 5 3 7 4 5 7 6 6 6 5 7 4 9 6 9 6 7 8 3 8 9 6 4 7 6 8 6 7 12 7
X-Men Origins: Wolverine may 1 07 179.9 mil  5 5 6 7 7 3 3 9 1 7 8 4 8 6 3 7 7 7 3 4 3 5 6 5 5 6 5 5 7 7 2 3 4 13
Night at the Museum 2 may 22 08 177.2 mil  8 8 4 8 4 5 8 7 13 19 9 3 4 8 10 5 3 7 9 9 10 9 6 7 9 6 2 6 3 5 18 6 4
The Proposal jun 19 09 163.9 mil  14 17 20 17 14 15 15 19 16 20 19 19 16 10 15 18 14 18
G.I. Joe aug 7 10 150.2 mil  12 10 15 10 10 14 9 3 18 10 10 8 12 13 10 8 11 13 8 16 10 15 8 13 13 9 8 10 12 13 15
Angels & Demons may 15 11 133.4 mil  9 9 16 9 8 9 10 10 9 8 3 13 9 9 9 8 8 10 8 7 9 12 2 8 8 10 9 9 9 4 6 7 6
Terminator: Salvation may 21 12 125.3 mil  4 3 13 4 5 8 5 4 4 5 12 1 7 3 6 2 4 5 5 6 4 6 3 1 9 7 4 4 4 2 6 2 11 8
Inglourious Basterds aug 21 13 119.6 mil  19 15 17 15 17 18 10 17 17 20 20 20 10 14 10 18 17 16 20 5 15 19
G-Force jul 24 14 118.7 mil  19 18 13 19 16 17 9 19 17 17 19 14 17 19 12
District 9 aug 14 15 115.6 mil  9 11 19
Public Enemies jul 1 16 97.0 mil  11 12 10 12 13 13 11 17 16 7 15 17 10 11 3 17 11 9 15 17 4 5 14 12 15 15 12 14 12 12 11 9 10
Julie & Julia aug 7 17 93.5 mil  14 20 16 20 19 14 15 16 19 20 11 19 19
The Ugly Truth jul 24 18 88.9 mil  14 16 11 18 9 16 17 12 16 19 18 19 19
Final Destination 4 aug 28 19 66.3 mil  20
The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 jun 12 20 65.5 mil  17 18 12 14 16 16 14 12 18 11 20 18 18 17 18 16 15 14 13 16 14 13 18 14 20 13 4 16 14
The Time Traveler's Wife aug 14 63.0 mil  20 20 20 19 15 15 19
Bruno jul 10 60.0 mil  16 11 13 17 12 15 20 20 12 7 11 12 18 13 14 18 13 12 10 12 11 12 12 14 8 11
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past may 1 55.2 mil  18 14 20 18 10 19 16 15 18 15 20 17 15 15
Funny People jul 31 51.8 mil  13 14 8 11 15 11 12 12 11 9 18 10 11 12 14 12 10 17 13 14 11 10 10 11 13 11 8 13 14 17
Land of the Lost jun 5 49.4 mil  10 13 11 15 19 10 13 11 8 14 13 12 13 14 13 11 10 12 20 11 11 11 17 14 16 13 15 11 18 14 10 20 9
My Sister's Keeper jun 26 49.2 mil  19 13 12 18 17 20 20 20 20 8 10
Year One jun 19 43.3 mil  18 17 19 16 19 15 15 16 20 19 14 15 14 12 17 15 14 16 13 18 13 16 20
Drag Me to Hell may 29 42.1 mil  19 20 17
The Orphan jul 24 41.6 mil 
Halloween 2 aug 28 32.6 mil  16 20 17
Dance Flick may 22 25.6 mil  20 20
Aliens In The Attic jul 31 25.1 mil  17
Shorts aug 21 20.5 mil  18 17
Imagine That jun 12 16.1 mil  19 17 20 19 18 16 17
The Perfect Getaway aug 14 15.5 mil  20
The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard aug 14 15.1 mil  17 9 16
I Love You Beth Cooper jul 10 14.8 mil  13
The Hurt Locker jun 26* 12.5 mil  19
Next Day Air may 8 10.0 mil  18
My Life in Ruins jun 5 8.7 mil  16 12 18 9
Post Grad aug 21 6.4 mil 
Bandslam aug 14 5.2 mil  18 16
Battle for Terra may 1 1.6 mil  14 18 12 18
The Girlfriend Experience may 22 0.7 mil  19

DELAYED
All Good Things tbd n.n mil 
When in Rome jan n.n mil 
Goose on the Loose! tbd n.n mil  18
The Boat That Rocked tbd n.n mil 

Who's winning? See the Deviation Score and FAQ page.

other notes:
The Hurt Locker opens on June 26th in NY and LA and expands to other cities on July 24th.

 


What happened last summer?
Last summer The Dark Knight was a phenomenon, Iron Man finished a strong 2nd with old Indiana Jones breathing (raggedly) down his neck. As for the predictors: Doug French annoying took 1st place and El Fuego (now named Alkerton) took 2nd (a flip-flop of the year before that!) [See details.]