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See you next year! Last update:NOV 4 Week 27: There was no change in the top 20 last week or this week, so I'm declaring this year's challenge done and Alkerton is king of all Deviates. Say hello to Alkerton on Twitter. Previous 3 updates: OCT 20 Week 25: Inglourious Basterds overtook G-Force for the 13th spot. Alkerton holds first among the Deviates. This may be the end.... OCT 07 Week 23: Inglourious Basterds moved up 1 spot and Final Destination has edged over Pelham 123. Didn't change the Deviates' rankings much: Alkerton keeps his lead over Pook by 2 points. My question is: will Inglourious Basterds overtake G-Force? Still tracking.... SEP 22 21 weeks in and we still have movement in the top 20! Bruno has been displaced by Final Destination. Inglourious Basterds keeps earning more and may yet climb another notch. Julia & Julia is still cookin' and climbed over The Ugly Truth. Alkerton keeps his lead among the Deviates, 3 points ahead of Pook. Looks like this is going into October, folks. |  Ciao! | Top 20 Summer Movie Predictions of 2009 Welcome to the ninth annual SUMMER MOVIE PREDICTIONS. On this page I detail the box office predictions made by all the contestants for this summer's crop of blockbusters, hopefuls, and worthless crap. All eligible contestants will have submitted their predictions to me by the due date of April 30th. All of the predictions are for movies released from MAY 1ST through AUGUST 31ST. Predictions will not be tampered with once the challenge begins, even if they make the participants look really stupid (see last year). See also: Top 20 lists and Deviation Scores and FAQ |
| The Contestants | |||||||||||
| W | Woodge | DF | Doug French | B | Beck | P | Pook | G | Gritz | K | Knoxville |
| SS | Sean Smylie | H | Holls | ET | Mrs. T | A | Alkerton | J | Jet | SC | Scott Chew |
| RS | Ryan Sochol | JM | J Murph | S | Schmoo | PB | P Baker | ZD | Zach D | K2 | Kevin Sinclair |
| F | Fang | FV | Farva | VC | VC Nickels | T | T | AM | Aaron McMahon | V | Valaina |
| BR | Bunny | AO | Awesome-O | JJ | Juff Juff | MM | MRM | FW | Frank Wiese | LN | Lessthannate |
| OZ | Ozzy | HC | Hatch | BC | Basket Case | FR | Frank R | ||||
| MOVIE | RELEASE DATE | RANK | BOX OFFICE TOTAL | W | DF | B | P | G | K | SS | H | ET | A | J | SC | RS | JM | S | PB | ZD | K2 | F | FV | VC | T | AM | V | BR | AO | JJ | MM | FW | LN | OZ | HC | BC | FR | |
| Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen | jun 24 | 01 | 402.2 mil | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 2 |
| Harry Potter & the Half Blood Prince | jul 17 | 02 | 301.2 mil | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Up | may 29 | 03 | 293.0 mil | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 3 | 5 | |
| The Hangover | jun 5 | 04 | 276.8 mil | 15 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 10 | 15 | 16 | |||||||||||||||
| Star Trek | may 8 | 05 | 257.7 mil | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs | jul 1 | 06 | 196.4 mil | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 7 | |
| X-Men Origins: Wolverine | may 1 | 07 | 179.9 mil | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| Night at the Museum 2 | may 22 | 08 | 177.2 mil | 8 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 6 | 4 | |
| The Proposal | jun 19 | 09 | 163.9 mil | 14 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 18 | 14 | 18 | ||||||||||||||||
| G.I. Joe | aug 7 | 10 | 150.2 mil | 12 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | |||
| Angels & Demons | may 15 | 11 | 133.4 mil | 9 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | |
| Terminator: Salvation | may 21 | 12 | 125.3 mil | 4 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 8 |
| Inglourious Basterds | aug 21 | 13 | 119.6 mil | 19 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 19 | ||||||||||||
| G-Force | jul 24 | 14 | 118.7 mil | 19 | 18 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| District 9 | aug 14 | 15 | 115.6 mil | 9 | 11 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Public Enemies | jul 1 | 16 | 97.0 mil | 11 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 10 | |
| Julie & Julia | aug 7 | 17 | 93.5 mil | 14 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 11 | 19 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| The Ugly Truth | jul 24 | 18 | 88.9 mil | 14 | 16 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Final Destination 4 | aug 28 | 19 | 66.3 mil | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 | jun 12 | 20 | 65.5 mil | 17 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 18 | 11 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 14 | |||||
| The Time Traveler's Wife | aug 14 | 63.0 mil | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bruno | jul 10 | 60.0 mil | 16 | 11 | 13 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 11 | |||||||||
| Ghosts of Girlfriends Past | may 1 | 55.2 mil | 18 | 14 | 20 | 18 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 15 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 15 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Funny People | jul 31 | 51.8 mil | 13 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 17 | |||||
| Land of the Lost | jun 5 | 49.4 mil | 10 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 9 | ||
| My Sister's Keeper | jun 26 | 49.2 mil | 19 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 8 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Year One | jun 19 | 43.3 mil | 18 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 19 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 16 | 20 | ||||||||||||
| Drag Me to Hell | may 29 | 42.1 mil | 19 | 20 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Orphan | jul 24 | 41.6 mil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Halloween 2 | aug 28 | 32.6 mil | 16 | 20 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dance Flick | may 22 | 25.6 mil | 20 | 20 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Aliens In The Attic | jul 31 | 25.1 mil | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Shorts | aug 21 | 20.5 mil | 18 | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Imagine That | jun 12 | 16.1 mil | 19 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Perfect Getaway | aug 14 | 15.5 mil | 20 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Goods: Live Hard, Sell Hard | aug 14 | 15.1 mil | 17 | 9 | 16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| I Love You Beth Cooper | jul 10 | 14.8 mil | 13 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Hurt Locker | jun 26* | 12.5 mil | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Next Day Air | may 8 | 10.0 mil | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| My Life in Ruins | jun 5 | 8.7 mil | 16 | 12 | 18 | 9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Post Grad | aug 21 | 6.4 mil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bandslam | aug 14 | 5.2 mil | 18 | 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Battle for Terra | may 1 | 1.6 mil | 14 | 18 | 12 | 18 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Girlfriend Experience | may 22 | 0.7 mil | 19 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DELAYED | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| All Good Things | tbd | n.n mil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| When in Rome | jan | n.n mil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Goose on the Loose! | tbd | n.n mil | 18 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| The Boat That Rocked | tbd | n.n mil | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Who's winning? See the Deviation Score and FAQ page.
other notes: |
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What happened last summer?
Last summer The Dark Knight was a phenomenon, Iron Man finished a strong 2nd with old Indiana Jones breathing (raggedly) down his neck. As for the predictors: Doug French annoying took 1st place and El Fuego (now named Alkerton) took 2nd (a flip-flop of the year before that!) [See details.] |